Friday, May 5, 2017

Trade

06th May 2017


GROUNDVIEWS: Avoiding complacency on GSP Plus: The importance of long term economic reform

This one discusses the requirement for economic reform. FYI. It ties into the comparative recovery of the eurozone and how getting the green light now is better than getting it last year when the EU market was tepid.

ISLAND: BUSINESS: ADB 50th annual conference begins

ADB theme for this year is "Rise together for a prosperous Asia" - read this as: Rise together for a prosperous Japan and we would be closer to the truth. \All this news about the whopping involvement of the IDBs is in line with the UNP desire to tie to western model donor funds.

Related article: DAILY MIRROR:BUSINESS:  Finance Minister meets JBIC CEO
Related article: DAILY MIRROR:BUSINESS: Top World Bank official visits Sri Lanka 
Related article: DAILY NEWS:NEWS: ADB provides $31.7 b assistance in 2016

DAILY MIRROR: BUSINESS: SriLankan sell off fails, seeks new partner

Not sure if this is relevant but TGP has been playing in the SLSEC markets for a while now. If they pulled out it is a concerning indicator for trade-economics and money markets for Sri Lanka.

DAILY MIRROR BUSINESS: Sri Lanka raises US $ 1.5bn via international bond issue

The sovereign bond issue is only the tip of the external debt iceburg. In 2016, Forbes reported that the external debt crisis was so bad that even the government didn't know how much it owed the world. This is why the IMF actually got its foot back in the Sri Lankan doorway. Our debt is just not sustainable. Not at all. Just for us to get a clear idea of the madness involved, here is a brief from the time I was looking into these matters back in 2016: The official estimate of what Sri Lanka currently owes its financiers is $64.9 billion — $8 billion of which is owned by China. The country’s debt-to-GDP currently stands around 75% and 95.4% of all government revenue is currently going towards debt repayment.

Related data: Sri Lanka's external debt from 2014-2017

05th May 2017

SLAND: BUSINESS: Port City to avert excessive presence of Chinese investors

Broad basing investor spread across the globe is probably a good idea although I am not too convinced that the port city itself is a good idea. 

ISLAND: BUSINESS: Local workers’ remittances in moderate year on year growth External Sector Performance - January 2017

Good article detailing the CBSL annual report. It details remittances, export performance, sector performance etc and gives numbers. These can also be acquired from the CBSL website but this article gives a fairly concise picture of the financial "state of the nation".

The following segment is important to us: Earnings from agricultural exports grew by 7.9 per cent, year-on-year, to US dollars 194 million in January 2017 reflecting improved performances in all subsectors except minor agricultural products and unmanufactured tobacco. Earnings from spices showed an impressive growth of 33.7 per cent, year-on-year, in January 2017 mainly due to the improved performance in cloves, nutmeg and mace and cinnamon. In addition, earnings from seafood exports increased by 19.7 per cent, year-on-year, in January 2017 especially due to the 107.3 per cent growth in seafood exports to the EU. Earnings from tea exports, which account for 12 per cent of total exports, increased by 2.1 per cent, year-on-year, due to increased average prices which have been on a rising trend since September 2016, despite the decline in volume exported.
DAILY MIRROR NEWS:  EU-SL hold Investor Dialogue meeting

Not sure what the outcome of this meeting was but chances are they were looking at how much of the country can be sold for a pittance to overseas direct investors :)

Related article: DAILY NEWS: NEWS: National Trade Policy needed before FTAs are inked - NCCSL

Sanjeewa speaks of the fact that the government needs to be honest with the business community on upcoming trade agreements. This is related to the trade talk coverage in other press but I thought it is important to put this as a separate one.

DAILY MIRROR: BUSINESS: Sri Lanka launches 10-year sovereign bond

Public debt soars. The impact down the line is significant and we still do not have a strong fiscal policy that can be presented to the general public despite IMF and other such organizations "oh your fiscal policy is fine" Sure... for THEM. Not for Sri Lanka.

DAILY MIRROR: NEWS: Govt. will not sign any investment or trade agreement detrimental to Sri Lanka –President

This is actually the article related to the Siyambalapitiya meeting but it has been cleverly hidden behind the heading.

ARTICLE ALERT: We need to very quickly hit back at moves to try to scupper the renewable energy drive.  Take a look at this bullshit statement: Accordingly, proposals to use alternative sources of energy like fossil fuels, natural gas, coal, oil as well as renewable resources such as solar power, wind power, geothermal heat, waves and solid waste and the use of nuclear power for the purpose of power generation, was discussed in detail. - now, what the hell does this mean? Are they calling coal an "alternative" now?

DAILY NEWS:NEWS: Sri Lanka, Czech Republic to expand on trade volumes

Not the biggest of EU markets but important for trade and agriculture - tea and equipment. BOI chairman highly valued the import of agricultural equipment to Sri Lanka from the Czech Republic for the past several years and recalled the country started importing high standard tractors from Czech Republic to Sri Lanka even from the time when he was the Chairman of State Trading Corporation.

LANKADEEPA: NEWS: යුරෝපා සංගමයෙන් කෝටි 700 ක්

කෘෂිකාර්මික අංශය නවීකරණය කිරීම සඳහා රුපියල් බිලියන පහකට ආසන්න මුදලක් (යුරෝ මිලියන 30ක්) සහ මෙරට සංහිඳියා ක්‍රියාවලිය සවිබල ගැන්වීම සඳහා රුපියල් බිලියන 2කට ආසන්න මුදලක් (යුරෝ මිලියන 12) ලබාදෙන බව යුරෝපා සංගමයේ ශ්‍රී ලංකා කාර්යාලය නිවේදනයක් නිකුත් කරමින් සඳහන් කළේය.


04th May 2017

DAILY MIRROR: NEWS: Pathfinder Foundation seeks to enhance Indo-Lanka connectivity

Seems like CSOs have also gotten on the band wagon and we might want to keep our eye on these things even if we do not get involved directly because the areas they are interested in are of national strategic importance. The four major sectors covered, included promoting religious tourism aimed at developing people to people relations, multi-modal sea and air links and two-way power grid connection between Sri Lanka and peninsular India, energy security through strategic storage of hydrocarbons for industries and options for coastal shipping in the Bay of Bengal framework.

Related article: DAILY NEWS: NEWS: Pathfinder confab on enhancing Indo-Lanka connectivity

03rd May 2017 

SILUMINA NEWS: යූරෝවෙන් රුපියල තර වෙයි භාණ්ඩ 6600කට ජීඑස්පී+ බදු සහන

යලිත් ලැබි ඇති GSP+  යටතේ භාණ්ඩ 6600කට ආසන්න ප්‍රමාණයක් යුරෝපා සංගමයට අයත් රටවලට තීරුබදු රහිතව අපනයනය කිරීමට හැකියාව ලැබෙන බව  නියෝජ්‍ය අමාත්‍ය හර්ෂ ද සිල්වා කියයි.

Related article: යුරෝපයේදි පරාජය වු ශ්‍රී ලංකා විරෝධය

 SILUMINA: NEWS: ආර්ථිකයට හිතකර වොෂින්ටන් සමුළුව

මුල්‍යමය ප්‍රතිපත්ති හදාගෙන යනවා කියල රවී කියනවා. මට තේරෙන හැටියට ලෝකේ දැනට ශීග්‍රයෙන් පැතිරෙන fintech ආයතන කළමනාකරණයට කිසිම හරි හමන් ස්ථාවරයක් රට අරගෙන නෑ. ඇස ඇරලා බලනකොට බස් එකයි අපේ ආර්ථිකයයි එකේ නැගල ගිහින් ඉවර වෙන්නත් පුළුවන්

ISLAND: BUSINESS: Sri Lanka aiming to increase foreign reserves to US$ 10 bn by end 2017

Key issues about this is the effectiveness. Seems a bit like desperation. The IMFs take on fiscal policy and monetary policy is also an issue since we must look for a better trade balance in our international dealings in my opinion.  


26th April 2017

ISLAND: First Colombo session on historic WTO agreement opens today, island, local and International business
 This is mostly for our information. However, given the history of financial and economic messes that the WTO has caused and because they are fighting to be relevant in the face of regional trade agreements, these need to be watched closely. Key here is that the thuggery and enforcement of nationally negative trade agreements by the Brettenwoods organizations (WTO, WB, IMF) and their push for globalization is being threatened now.

LANKADEEPA: න - ලංකා වෙළඳ ගිවිසුමෙන් දේශීය කර්මාන්ත අනතුරේ

කාලයක් තිස්සේ මම නම් කිය කියා හිටපු දෙයක් මේක. එක පැත්තකින් අපි SME sector  එක දියුණු කරන්න හදනවා. අනෙක් පැත්තෙන් ඒක කඩාකප්පල් කරනකලාපිය  වෙළඳ ගිවිසුම් අත්සන් කරනවා.